[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

All-in?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 26 August 2011, at 12:07 a.m.

In Response To: All-in? (Chiva Tafazzoli)

Yes. All the times that Blue doesn't hit, he loses a gammon and a match. That doesn't mean he should double. It means all those games are irrelevant to his cube decision. What matters is whether he is better off with a centered cube or having doubled whenever he hits. Blue has 20 hits now, and another 4 or so worth of later hits. But most of the later hits and some of the immediate hits only save the gammon. So doubling in those sequences just gives up 32% match equity. Other hitting sequences will often be winners. Blue will sometimes have lost his market, but won't win all the time if he has doubled. And after a lot of hits, Blue should still be able to double White in. I don't think Blue gains enough with by doubling now to make for all the times that a hit doesn't win the game.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.