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Pick your poison - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 26 August 2011, at 5:12 a.m.

In Response To: Pick your poison (Daniel Murphy)

The position came up at DMP. My opponent had the 6-2 to play. First, a money game rollout:

Money game. Blue to play 6-2.

White	122
Blue	127
Position ID: bHaDAwKtc8CAEQ Match ID: UQkLAAAAAAAE

Alert: very bad move ( -0.077)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	20/14 3/1	-0.5633
			0.2656 0.0684 0.0013 - 0.7344 0.2477 0.0124 -0.6591 -0.5633 0.0010 0.0009 0.0001 - 0.0010 0.0015 0.0005 0.0025 0.0037
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2593 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/7 3/1	-0.5815 ( -0.0182)
			0.2402 0.0386 0.0005 - 0.7598 0.1838 0.0067 -0.6711 -0.5815 0.0010 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0010 0.0016 0.0003 0.0025 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/11 13/7	-0.5834 ( -0.0202)
			0.2470 0.0439 0.0011 - 0.7530 0.2035 0.0081 -0.6726 -0.5834 0.0010 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0010 0.0015 0.0005 0.0026 0.0034
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2593 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	R	13/5*	-0.6401 ( -0.0769)
			0.2696 0.0793 0.0012 - 0.7304 0.3384 0.0211 -0.7398 -0.6401 0.0024 0.0017 0.0004 - 0.0024 0.0032 0.0020 0.0067 0.0104
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

What Gnubg plays:

0-ply	13/7 3/1
1-ply	13/7 3/1
2-ply	13/7 3/1
3-ply	20/14 3/1
4-ply	20/14 3/1

And a DMP rollout: two plays are close.

DMP. Blue to play 6-2.

White	122
Blue	127
Position ID: bHaDAwKtc8CAEQ Match ID: cAkrAAAAAAAE

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	13/5*	-0.4617
			0.2691 0.1036 0.0028 - 0.7309 0.4111 0.0884 -0.4617 -0.4617 0.0019 0.0052 0.0009 - 0.0019 0.0078 0.0056 0.0038 0.0038
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	20/14 3/1	-0.4718 ( -0.0101)
			0.2641 0.0836 0.0015 - 0.7359 0.2909 0.0397 -0.4718 -0.4718 0.0015 0.0044 0.0007 - 0.0015 0.0073 0.0036 0.0029 0.0029
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/11 13/7	-0.5130 ( -0.0513)
			0.2435 0.0505 0.0008 - 0.7565 0.2556 0.0392 -0.5130 -0.5130 0.0036 0.0093 0.0003 - 0.0036 0.0193 0.0090 0.0071 0.0071
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	13/7 3/1	-0.5237 ( -0.0620)
			0.2381 0.0655 0.0003 - 0.7619 0.2698 0.0267 -0.5237 -0.5237 0.0032 0.0127 0.0001 - 0.0032 0.0227 0.0072 0.0064 0.0064
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1010101010 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

What Gnubg plays:

0-ply	13/5*
1-ply	20/14 3/1
2-ply	13/5*
3-ply	20/14 3/1
4-ply	13/5*

Messages In This Thread

• Pick your poison
  Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 8:03 p.m.
  • Pick your poison
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 10:35 p.m.
  • Pick your poison
    Steve Mellen -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 11:54 p.m.
  • Pick your poison
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 24 August 2011, at 3:18 a.m.
  • Pick your poison - ROLLOUT
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 26 August 2011, at 5:12 a.m.