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For example

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Saturday, 27 August 2011, at 4:44 p.m.

In Response To: All-in? (Casper van der Tak)





White is Player 1

score: 5
pip: 71
7 point match
pip: 35
score: 5

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aBBBBCB-----B---------bb--:0:0:-1:00:5:5:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.130% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 63.134% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.870% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 36.866% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.2626 +0.7405
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7369 (-0.0037)
Double/Take:+0.7405
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.2595)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

Here you break even and didn't gain anything from not doubling.





White is Player 1

score: 5
pip: 71
7 point match
pip: 31
score: 5

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aBBBBCB-----B---------b---:0:0:-1:00:5:5:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.757% (G:2.225% B:0.336%) 75.790% (G:6.030% B:1.076%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.243% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 24.210% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5756 +1.4541
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.0000 (0.0000)
Double/Take:+1.4541 (+0.4541)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

Here you're happy to be cubed out and only lose 1 point but you still give up on winning the match immediately 24% of the time.

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