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Proposal of "T4" (43D-33)

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 29 August 2011, at 5:53 a.m.

In Response To: Proposal of "T4" (Tommy Nesbakk)


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I presume you're referring to 43D-33 (as diagammed above). I've had my eye on that one for quite a while. Here is data (money, dmp, save, go):

    ..[C E10 R20 B26 H27 A58] ~31*10 (Chris, Dennis)
    ..[C E27 B38 R44] /5*4 (Stick)
    ..[C E19 R28 B29 H33 A53] <62****10 (Ken)
    ..[C E20 R30 H24 B34] <18 (Stick)
    ..[C E22 H37 B37 R42 "<=5 (Miran)

    d[B=C R2 E2] <20 (David/Stick?)
    d[C B1 E4 R4 H10] "<=20*5 (Miran)

    s[E C3 B7] <31 (David)
    s[E C3 B8] "<=15*5 (Miran)

    g[A C13 H34 R41 E48 B64] ~10 31 10* 31 10 (Chris, Dennis -- fake AtS)

Key: C = Cross (24/21(2) 8/5(2), E = Each (24/21(2) 6/3(2), R = Run (24/15* 24/21), B = Both (24/21(2) 13/10(2), H = Hit (24/15* 13/10), A = Attack (8/5(2) 6/3(2)). Margins are in thousandths. Before brackets, d = dmp, s = (gammon) save, g = (gammon) go. After brackets is a bot symbol (~ Snowie, / GnuBG, < XG 3-ply, "<= XG2 3-ply with roller cube) and the number of trials in thousands, rounded down (an asterisk is a repeater, not necessary after the final number). For example, d[C B1 E4 R4 H10] "<=20*5 means that at dmp, C is best, B is -.001, E is -.004 and R is -.004 in an XG2 3-ply roller-cube rollout of 20000+ trials, and H is -.010 after 5000+ trials.

Unlike XGR++'s opinion, current rollout data supports C at dmp, though seemingly not by much. For 43D-33 to achieve T4 status, what we need is for B or R to overtake C (and also for E not to overtake the overtaker). I believe that 43D-33-d is somewhere on David's XG2 (3-ply) rollout queue for exactly that purpose.

We could skip straight to an XG2 4-ply rollout of 43D-33 at dmp, (which we would need anyway if B or R overtakes or stays close to C at 3-ply). Is anyone game for that?

Nack

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