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BQ: safe vs bold? *Rollout*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 1:08 p.m.

In Response To: BQ: safe vs bold? *4-ply analysis* (leobueno)

The score (after 0 games) is: Player_1 0, Player_2 0

Move number 3: Player_2 to play 45

Player_1	106
Player_2	120
Position ID: B9/GAAQ2u5EAGA Match ID: cAkWAAAAAAAE

• Player_2 moves 12/8 10/5

Alert: missed double ( -0.267)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity		+0.575
	68.8 26.9 0.4 - 31.2 7.3 0.2
Cubeful equities:
	3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
1.	Double, take	+0.933
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.067
3.	No double	+0.666	-0.267
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	12/8 10/5	-0.139
			45.3 9.5 0.2 - 54.7 5.6 0.1 -0.055 -0.139 0.3 0.3 0.0 - 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.007 0.014
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931041833 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	10/1	-0.220 ( -0.081)
			43.8 9.7 0.2 - 56.2 7.0 0.2 -0.098 -0.220 0.3 0.2 0.0 - 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.006 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			360 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931041833 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	4	10/5 6/2	-0.177 ( -0.038)
			43.4 10.0 0.1 - 56.6 7.1 0.1
			4-ply cubeful prune
	4	4	12/3	-0.202 ( -0.063)
			42.6 9.9 0.1 - 57.4 7.4 0.1
			4-ply cubeful prune
	5	4	12/7 10/6	-0.228 ( -0.089)
			41.9 8.4 0.1 - 58.1 5.6 0.1
			4-ply cubeful prune
	6	3	10/5 7/3	-0.341 ( -0.202)
			39.1 7.6 0.1 - 60.9 8.7 0.2
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	7	3	12/8 6/1	-0.348 ( -0.209)
			39.4 9.1 0.2 - 60.6 11.1 0.3
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
	8	3	12/7 6/2	-0.371 ( -0.232)
			38.5 7.4 0.1 - 61.5 9.0 0.2
			3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

Messages In This Thread

• BQ: safe vs bold?
  leobueno -- Monday, 29 August 2011, at 9:30 p.m.
  • BQ: safe vs bold?
    christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 7:38 a.m.
    • BQ: safe vs bold? *4-ply analysis*
      leobueno -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 12:48 p.m.
      • BQ: safe vs bold? *Rollout*
        leobueno -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 1:08 p.m.
        • BQ: safe vs bold? *Rollout*
          Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 3:54 p.m.
          • BQ: safe vs bold? *Rollout*
            leobueno -- Wednesday, 31 August 2011, at 2:28 a.m.
            • BQ: safe vs bold? *Rollout*
              Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 31 August 2011, at 7:37 a.m.
      • BQ: safe vs bold? *4-ply analysis*
        Jason Marshall -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 1:12 p.m.
  • BQ: safe vs bold?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 2:20 p.m.
  • BQ: safe vs bold?
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 3:32 p.m.
    • BQ: safe vs bold?
      Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 4:05 p.m.
  • BQ: safe vs bold?
    Kevin Whyte -- Wednesday, 31 August 2011, at 12:32 a.m.