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Estimate Winning Chances #2

Posted By: adambulldog
Date: Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 2:34 p.m.

In Response To: Estimate Winning Chances #2 (Stick)

Gammons don't matter for either side. Hitting twice looks clear anyway, since the race is about even. Using the logic from the last post of this type, I'll guess that the winning chances are close to the number of times you don't get hit back immediately from the bar, i.e. 66.666666666666667%.

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