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Estimate Winning Chances #2

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Tuesday, 30 August 2011, at 10:29 p.m.

In Response To: Estimate Winning Chances #2 (Stick)

I'd hit two w/o much thought, limiting my home-work. If I'd need to estimate, I would start with missed wins and hit loses, note that missed happens twice as often as being hit, but that the 'error' in the assumptions looks more that twice bigger in the missed case than in the hit case, so I'd round down a bit to 66%.

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