BGonline.org Forums

41S-54 4ply

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 2 September 2011, at 3:56 a.m.

In Response To: 41S-54 4ply (eXtreme Gammon)

The message I e-mailed to David was, "Based on the stats of this XG2 4-ply rollout, there is a 29% chance that 41S-54 is a T4."

In Dmitriy's rollout, underneath the confidence interval of +-.0014 for the S play (in second place) is a bracketed number of [29.2%]. Did I assume correctly that the bot is telling us that if this rollout is extended to a googolplex trials, there is a 29.2% chance that S will top the rollout?

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 41S-54 4ply
  Dmitriy Obukhov -- Thursday, 1 September 2011, at 11:41 p.m.
  • 41S-54 4ply
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 1 September 2011, at 11:46 p.m.
    • 41S-54 4ply
      David Rockwell -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 1:05 a.m.
      • 41S-54 4ply
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 1:11 a.m.
      • 41S-54 4ply
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 1:36 a.m.
        • 41S-54 4ply
          eXtreme Gammon -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 2:53 a.m.
          • 41S-54 4ply
            Nack Ballard -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 3:56 a.m.
            • 41S-54 4ply
              Stick -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 4:57 a.m.
            • 41S-54 4ply
              Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 2:41 p.m.
        • 41S-54 4ply
          David Rockwell -- Friday, 2 September 2011, at 11:08 a.m.