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OLM 9/1/11

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 2 September 2011, at 4:14 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 9/1/11 (David Rennie)

We have 1, 3, 4, 6 and 8 aiming at the five point. We can make it with 15 rolls (13, 14, 16, 34, 36, 46, 11, 33, 44). When we misses that, we can make the three point with 7 rolls (15, 35, 56, 55) or the two point with 6 rolls (22, 24, 26, and, perhaps, 66). That's 28 ways to add a third point to the board.

Adding a fourth and fifth will be harder. At some point during the attack we probably have to leave a direct shot, at which point we will be risking a gammmon loss. For cash, I might take a double here, but AtS, perhaps XG will pass. Even if "it" takes, our chances are still decent enough to get back in the match.

My vote: Redouble

Mike

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