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OLM We 8/31/11 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 3 September 2011, at 6:10 p.m.

In Response To: OLM We 8/31/11 ROLLOUT (Timothy Chow)

Thank you but no I shouldn't. I mused that it might be best but I blundered anyway. I saw that ATS our cube power is simply huge on many of XG's 25 misses but could not find a clear path to thinking that outweighed those 11 direct shots. Here are some Gnubg evaluations of our next turn, if we had played bar/24*(2) 8/7 6/5*.

XG fans (the actual match continuation):

The score (after 0 games) is: White 7, Blue 1 (match to 15 points)

White126


2O2X2X2X2X2X ' ' '2X '2O

 ' ' '3O1O2O1O2O1X '2O '

Blue148

Position ID: tm0YCGC41pgBMA Match ID: UQngAXAACAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.3791(Money: +0.3217)
0.6124 0.2615 0.0166 - 0.3876 0.1666 0.0146
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.1767 +0.1767
3.No double +0.8452 -0.1548
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass

XG enters a checker on the acepoint:

White125


2O2X2X2X2X2X ' ' '2X '2O

1X ' '3O1O2O1O2O1X '2O '

Blue148

Position ID: tm0YCFC41pgBMA Match ID: UQngAXAACAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.0851(Money: +0.0297)
0.5336 0.1966 0.0123 - 0.4664 0.2207 0.0255
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.6212
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.3788
3.No double +0.5398 -0.0814
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

XG enters on the deuce point:

White124


2O2X2X2X2X2X ' ' '2X '2O

 '1X '3O1O2O1O2O1X '2O '

Blue148

Position ID: tm0YCEi41pgBMA Match ID: UQngAXAACAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.0485(Money: -0.0068)
0.5167 0.1976 0.0115 - 0.4833 0.2247 0.0245
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.5456
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4544
3.No double +0.4994 -0.0462
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

XG enters on the 3 point:

White123


2O2X2X2X2X2X ' ' '2X '2O

 ' '1X3O1O2O1O2O1X '2O '

Blue148

Position ID: tm0YCES41pgBMA Match ID: UQngAXAACAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.0986(Money: +0.0410)
0.5324 0.2109 0.0126 - 0.4676 0.2211 0.0262
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.6561
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.3439
3.No double +0.5437 -0.1124
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

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