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Adjusting your play to your opponent

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 10 September 2011, at 6:43 p.m.

In Response To: Blundering early vs. blundering late: UBK's example revisited (Kevin Whyte)

Kevin Whyte wrote:

I think we're saying the same thing here

Could be, but in your previous message I thought you were talking about the difference between measuring errors using EMG versus MWC. This is a separate issue from the issue of measuring player performance against the bot as opposed to measuring player performance against the opponent.

I doubt the effect is really that big in practice

Here I disagree rather strongly, and I suspect that most of the top players here will also disagree. The most obvious situation is the one I already mentioned a couple of times: the bot says it's ND/T but you know your opponent will drop. Or maybe you're trailing 4a2a and you know the bot will say D/P but you also know that your opponent will take next turn. Or you know your opponent's approximate Elo rating so you mentally use a fish MET rather than a bot MET like Rockwell-Kazaross.

It happens with checker play, too. When faced with a close choice, an expert will frequently choose the checker play that complicates the game and gives the opponent more opportunities to blunder. Or again, a fish MET may dictate a different checker play than R-K would.

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