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THERE IS NO LUCK IN BACKGAMMON!!!!!!!!

Posted By: GeorgeMJ23
Date: Sunday, 11 September 2011, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: THERE IS NO LUCK IN BACKGAMMON!!!!!!!! (Phil Simborg)

"The answer to your point is that you will get to a 75 percent position more often than your opponent if you play skillfully. To simply if, if you get an opening 3-1, were you lucky? No. Because in the long run, you and your opponent will start with a 3-1 just as often. "

No!! You did not get my point at all.

1st: You start with 50% chance to win the game.
If you get 3-1 in the opening then your chances are more than 50% to win the game. Before even do an action. Before even think! Why? Because you had 3-1. Because the dice and NOT your skill made you have a roll(3-1) that would increase your chances of winning(from 50% to something more than 50%).

2nd: Match GNUBG 2 ply against GNUBG 2 ply same version on the same computer. One of these 2 will win. Why?
Because one was luckier and not more skillful. :-)

And that ends the whole debate: Backgammon has the LUCK factor inside it!

"If you are better than your opponent, you will win from that position at least 55 percent of the time, but he will not."

That does not remove luck from Backgammon.
That proves there is skill inside it required to play it.
As i've said before, we start the game initially with 50% chances for both players to win and we go to something more than 50% for one player at one moment. So assuming the 2 cases i gave in my previous post it is easy to show that in order someone(from my 2 cases of my previous post) to win has to have more luck. QED. :)

"Everytime time "the best player in the world" gets a 3-1 and he is playing someone who does not play as well, his odds of winning are greater than 55 percent. Depending on the skill difference, his odds might be 60%. When he loses, it is not luck, it is because the odds tell us that he should and will lose from there about 40 percent. But if the other player gets the 3-1, he might start out with true odds of only 50 percent."

EXACTLY the same with the previous.
That does not remove luck from Backgammon.
That proves there is skill inside it required to play it in a good level.

Your skill level changes the odds, and that is why backgammon is all skill.

Nope. Not JUST skill. LUCK ALSO as i have proven you 3 times by now. :-)

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