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Clarification

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 12 September 2011, at 6:39 p.m.

In Response To: Clarification (Casper van der Tak)

Indeed, computer tournaments tend to have more decisive games than human tournaments do. See for example this crosstable.

I note that Jakob carefully omitted go from his list of games.

It's an interesting question how many games a 2700 chess player will win against one of the top programs. I certainly don't believe that the program would score a 100-0 wipeout, because the human would surely be able to hold the computer to a draw reasonably often. Winning against a top program, though, would be difficult, and I don't know what the odds would be. Of course, Jakob didn't say it had to be a top program.

In Othello, I think it would be even harder for the human to win. The problem is that in Othello, the computer can just solve the game exactly after the game is about half over. Even if the human manages to achieve a won position by that point, there's a strong chance that the human will make a mistake sometime after that, since close Othello endgames require complicated tactical calculations. The opening book and the endgame solve haven't quite met in the middle yet, but it's getting pretty close.

Again, though, if we're not talking about a top program, then the human has a much better chance.

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