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How bad could it be? ROLLOUT (cube 1)

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 31 August 2007, at 5:05 a.m.

In Response To: How bad could it be? ROLLOUT (play) (Keene)

Cube analysis Rollout cubeless equity +0.097 (Money: +0.052)

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, take +0.355

2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.645)

3. No double +0.224 ( -0.131)

Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Rollout details:

Player GGotter owns 2-cube:

0.511 0.320 0.029 - 0.489 0.278 0.042 CL +0.097 CF +0.224

[0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.002 0.003 CL 0.004 CF 0.004]

Player kilted owns 4-cube:

0.508 0.306 0.063 - 0.492 0.274 0.019 CL +0.355 CF +0.355

[0.001 0.001 0.003 - 0.001 0.005 0.002 CL 0.006 CF 0.006]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1073483585 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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