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Which Hit #1

Posted By: kruidenbuiltje
Date: Friday, 16 September 2011, at 5:53 p.m.

In Response To: Which Hit #1 (Stick)

Hi,

whats the difference:

return shots 1) after hit on 17: 5 outside, 5 and 6 outside (6 duplicated for making barpoint)

return chance = 15/36 2) after hit on 18: 1 and 6 outside, 4 and 6 inside (no point duplication here, 5 makes the 8-point)

return chance = 20/36

What about the positional argument of connectivity, is it worth 5/36 risk, I don't think so. The argument of making your own barpoint isnt so strong either, blue is ahead and will soon have to disengage this point again.

So i would hit on 17.

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