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XG Error analysis question

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Sunday, 18 September 2011, at 10:18 p.m.

In Response To: XG Error analysis question (joe freedman)

Thanks for the responses. I can see that if the position is a pass, it must be an error not to double (putting aside the small G vig). But in position 2, which is a take at GWC (and hence MWC) at .1649, failing to redouble is obviously good if you leave a shot and get hit, or perhaps if you roll 4-1 or 3-1 and opponent rolls boxes. On the other hand, if you roll something decent, you can then cash without having to play to conclusion. I guess that is "losing the market", but so what? In order to make the right decision, one needs to know the cubeful GWC for ND. If it enough higher than .8351 (and I don't know how much higher it would need to be), then it would seem right not to cube.

I don't understand this "pseudo cubeless" idea, but it can't be right that red's GWC are virtually identical whether he holds the cube or doubles.

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