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XG Error analysis question

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 18 September 2011, at 10:38 p.m.

In Response To: XG Error analysis question (joe freedman)

In Joe's first position, here is what actually happened in a Gnubg 2-ply 10k rollout using the Rockwell-Kazaross MET:

No Double
Blue Wins 2 ptsBlue Wins 3 ptsWhite Wins 2 ptsWhite wins 4 ptsWhite wins 5 pts
2-cube76.13% 00.13% 03.20% 00.05% 00.00%
4-cube00.00% 09.13% 00.00% 00.01% 00.00%
8-cube00.00% 07.43% 00.00% 00.00% 03.92%
Totals76.13% 16.69% 03.20% 00.06% 03.92%
Double/Take
Blue Wins 2 ptsBlue Wins 3 ptsWhite wins 2 ptsWhite wins 4 ptsWhite wins 5 pts
4-cube00.00% 53.98% 00.00% 00.01% 00.00%
8-cube00.00% 30.76% 00.00% 00.00% 15.25%
Totals00.00% 84.74% 00.00% 00.00% 15.25%

No Double MWC = (0.7613 * 0.841941) + 0.1669 + (0.0320 * 0.50) + (0.006 * 0.248821) = 82.53%

Double/Take MWC = 0.8474 + (0.01 * 0.248821) = 84.98%

Summarizing GWC and MWC:

No Double GWCNo Double MWCDouble/pass MWCDouble/Take GWCDouble/Take MWC
92.82% 82.53% 84.194% 84.74% 84.98%

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