1-away 5-away prime vs prime play

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1-away 5-away prime vs prime play - RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 19 September 2011, at 4:45 p.m.

In Response To: 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play (Daniel Murphy)

Three rollouts:

1-away 5-away Crawford
1-away 5-away post-Crawford -- expect a double/take next turn
1-away 3-away post-Crawford -- expect a double/take next turn

(1) Blue leads 16-12/17 (Crawford game). Blue to play 42.
White 123

Blue 94
Position ID: 2LZLAgjNbhsAIA Match ID: 8AkqAsAAgAAE

# Ply Move Equity

• 1 R 7/3* 5/3 -0.2298

0.3917 0.3090 0.0219 - 0.6083 0.1038 0.0043 -0.2298 -0.2298

0.0021 0.0051 0.0032 - 0.0021 0.0024 0.0004 0.0042 0.0042

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2 R 24/22 7/3* -0.2469 ( -0.0171)

0.3897 0.2944 0.0206 - 0.6103 0.1758 0.0110 -0.2469 -0.2469

0.0016 0.0051 0.0027 - 0.0016 0.0029 0.0009 0.0034 0.0034

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 7/3*/1 -0.2829 ( -0.0531)

0.3636 0.2923 0.0211 - 0.6364 0.0772 0.0035 -0.2829 -0.2829

0.0017 0.0055 0.0034 - 0.0017 0.0022 0.0003 0.0033 0.0033

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4 R 8/4 5/3* -0.4448 ( -0.2150)

0.2889 0.2028 0.0139 - 0.7111 0.1719 0.0080 -0.4448 -0.4448

0.0037 0.0091 0.0038 - 0.0037 0.0054 0.0012 0.0076 0.0076

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5 R 8/6 7/3* -0.4814 ( -0.2516)

0.2758 0.1981 0.0138 - 0.7242 0.2005 0.0155 -0.4814 -0.4814

0.0039 0.0088 0.0039 - 0.0039 0.0056 0.0018 0.0079 0.0079

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

6 R 7/5 7/3* -0.5171 ( -0.2873)

0.2513 0.1559 0.0073 - 0.7487 0.1579 0.0063 -0.5171 -0.5171

0.0036 0.0074 0.0030 - 0.0036 0.0057 0.0014 0.0073 0.0073

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

293 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

7 R 5/3* 5/1 -0.5177 ( -0.2879)

0.2512 0.1632 0.0060 - 0.7488 0.1606 0.0065 -0.5177 -0.5177

0.0033 0.0075 0.0021 - 0.0033 0.0058 0.0009 0.0066 0.0066

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

8 R 24/22 5/1 -0.6930 ( -0.4632)

0.1585 0.0825 0.0040 - 0.8415 0.0893 0.0024 -0.6930 -0.6930

0.0029 0.0080 0.0016 - 0.0029 0.0060 0.0004 0.0058 0.0058

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

293 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

(2) Blue leads 16-12/17 (post-Crawford play). Blue to play 42.
White 123

Blue 94
Position ID: 2LZLAgjNbhsAIA Match ID: cAkqAsAAgAAE

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.022)

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 7/3* 5/3 -0.4090

0.3975 0.3081 0.0199 - 0.6025 0.1212 0.0050 -0.3531 -0.4090

0.0022 0.0051 0.0028 - 0.0022 0.0020 0.0005 0.0049 0.0051

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

• 2 R 7/3*/1 -0.4313 ( -0.0223)

0.3668 0.2981 0.0209 - 0.6332 0.0888 0.0035 -0.3745 -0.4313

0.0018 0.0057 0.0033 - 0.0018 0.0018 0.0004 0.0040 0.0041

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 24/22 7/3* -0.5426 ( -0.1337)

0.4008 0.3052 0.0222 - 0.5992 0.2082 0.0178 -0.4815 -0.5426

0.0025 0.0076 0.0037 - 0.0025 0.0029 0.0017 0.0076 0.0080

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4 R 8/4 5/3* -0.7060 ( -0.2970)

0.3069 0.1931 0.0218 - 0.6931 0.1969 0.0118 -0.6384 -0.7060

0.0052 0.0083 0.0070 - 0.0052 0.0062 0.0015 0.0133 0.0138

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

220 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5 R 7/5 7/3* -0.7737 ( -0.3647)

0.2573 0.1758 0.0095 - 0.7427 0.1772 0.0077 -0.7033 -0.7737

0.0046 0.0119 0.0058 - 0.0046 0.0054 0.0012 0.0114 0.0119

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

220 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

6 R 8/6 7/3* -0.8213 ( -0.4123)

0.2915 0.2102 0.0140 - 0.7085 0.2372 0.0234 -0.7491 -0.8213

0.0050 0.0107 0.0050 - 0.0050 0.0051 0.0025 0.0147 0.0153

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

220 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

7 R 24/22 5/1 -0.8764 ( -0.4674)

0.1646 0.0839 0.0042 - 0.8354 0.1104 0.0034 -0.8020 -0.8764

0.0038 0.0086 0.0020 - 0.0038 0.0051 0.0007 0.0091 0.0095

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

220 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

(3) Blue leads 16-14/17 (post-Crawford play). Blue to play 42.
White 123

Blue 94
Position ID: 2LZLAgjNbhsAIA Match ID: cAkqAuAAgAAE

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.003)

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 7/3*/1 -0.4875

0.3764 0.3016 0.0185 - 0.6236 0.1018 0.0103 -0.4508 -0.4875

0.0014 0.0041 0.0021 - 0.0014 0.0014 0.0015 0.0034 0.0035

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

• 2 R 7/3* 5/3 -0.4903 ( -0.0029)

0.4005 0.3058 0.0205 - 0.5995 0.1273 0.0173 -0.4536 -0.4903

0.0016 0.0037 0.0019 - 0.0016 0.0014 0.0017 0.0040 0.0041

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 24/22 7/3* -0.6552 ( -0.1678)

0.4126 0.3127 0.0321 - 0.5874 0.2198 0.0415 -0.6144 -0.6552

0.0039 0.0110 0.0060 - 0.0039 0.0039 0.0070 0.0105 0.0108

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4 R 8/4 5/3* -0.8056 ( -0.3181)

0.3213 0.1976 0.0177 - 0.6787 0.2019 0.0504 -0.7611 -0.8056

0.0050 0.0089 0.0056 - 0.0050 0.0058 0.0107 0.0154 0.0158

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

238 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5 R 24/22 5/1 -0.9503 ( -0.4628)

0.1841 0.1250 0.0049 - 0.8159 0.1352 0.0162 -0.9022 -0.9503

0.0041 0.0103 0.0028 - 0.0041 0.0051 0.0052 0.0120 0.0123

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

238 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 928311346 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

White	123

Blue	94
Position ID: `2LZLAgjNbhsAIA` Match ID: `8AkqAsAAgAAE`

White	123

Blue	94
Position ID: `2LZLAgjNbhsAIA` Match ID: `cAkqAsAAgAAE`

White	123

Blue	94
Position ID: `2LZLAgjNbhsAIA` Match ID: `cAkqAuAAgAAE`

Messages In This Thread

1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 9:46 p.m.
- 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
  BenF -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 9:57 p.m.
  - 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 11:58 p.m.
    - 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
      BenF -- Saturday, 17 September 2011, at 12:13 a.m.
- 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
  Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 10:35 p.m.
  - 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 10:38 p.m.
    - 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
      Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 16 September 2011, at 10:44 p.m.
- 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play
  kruidenbuiltje -- Saturday, 17 September 2011, at 8:36 a.m.
- 1-away 5-away prime vs prime play - RO
  Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 19 September 2011, at 4:45 p.m.

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