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Trailer invariably wins at the Crawford

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 24 September 2011, at 5:57 a.m.

In Response To: Trailer invariably wins at the Crawford (Bob Koca)

Here at BGO there are seven paired rollouts at GG/GS. For six of these rolls, the Trailer wins >50% whether Trailer or Leader wins the opening roll:

Trailer's GWC at 2-away 1-away Crawford for X of the 15 possible opening rolls.

L wins opening rollT wins opening roll
2-150.56 51.14
4-150.81 50.29
5-150.34 50.19
3-250.53 50.74
4-350.91 50.74
5-450.16 50.59
6-249.57 50.05

Note that Trailer only wins 50.05% after opening 6-2 (played 13/5), while Leader wins 50.43% after opening 6-2 (played normally).

For five other rolls, only one of GS and GG is up, and for three rolls, neither.

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