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How would you play this 64 ?

Posted By: Martaille Jean-Francois
Date: Saturday, 24 September 2011, at 3:56 p.m.

In Response To: How would you play this 64 ? (Martaille Jean-Francois)





White is Dan O'Farell

score: 6
pip: 162
11 point match
pip: 144
score: 4

Blue is Jean-François
XGID=-B-aBbCB----bB-bbbBcB--a--:0:0:1:64:4:6:0:11:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout120/14 18/14eq: +0,142
Player:
Opponent:		51,41% (G:15,86% B:0,47%)
48,59% (G:14,95% B:0,65%)		Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,134...+0,150) - [94,7%]
Duration: 2 hours 59 minutes
2.Rollout120/10eq: +0,133 (-0,009)
Player:
Opponent:		51,30% (G:14,32% B:0,42%)
48,70% (G:12,75% B:0,56%)		Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,125...+0,140) - [5,3%]
Duration: 3 hours 12 minutes
3.Rollout220/14 7/3* eq: +0,078 (-0,063)
Player:
Opponent:		49,76% (G:15,04% B:0,30%)
50,24% (G:14,72% B:0,73%)		Conf.: ± 0,033 (+0,045...+0,111) - [0,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 44 seconds
4.Rollout313/3* eq: +0,027 (-0,115)
Player:
Opponent:		48,56% (G:14,54% B:0,21%)
51,44% (G:11,77% B:0,53%)		Conf.: ± 0,033 (-0,006...+0,060) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 20 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34624372
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

2 360 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34624372
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

3 325 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34624372
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Effectively, the game plan is to clear the anchor now and it's TCTC between the 2 plays.

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