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More nonsense

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 27 September 2011, at 1:57 a.m.

In Response To: More nonsense (Keene)

So, I played the most natural feeling 6/off(2), thinking how nice and pretty that was. But, LO!





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 58
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BcCBCD-----b-b--b-cab----:1:-1:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout16/3(4)eq: +1.319
Player:
Opponent:
83.92% (G:68.84% B:2.97%)
16.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+1.311...+1.326) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 33 seconds
2.*Rollout16/Off(2)eq: +1.192 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:
79.87% (G:65.32% B:3.32%)
20.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.185...+1.200) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

How do you find this play over the board? I suppose some of you will, but I really couldnt see the short/medium or long term value in it straight off the top of my head.

Oh, and I know its a dirty rollout, but when the difference is that large, I am less than convinced that a longer more stringent one will swing it.

Oh, and the 4/1 plays are all near triple whoppers. (~0.28++)

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