Just had to show a result where Stick choice comes out ahead. It does seem to be a very close choice between the two plays. OTB I've played both here.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/21 13/8 | eq: -0.2059 |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.77% (G:14.13% B:0.95%) 54.23% (G:19.55% B:0.83%) | Conf.: ±0.0088 (-0.2147...-0.1971) - [52.1%] Duration: 4 minutes 45 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3 6/3 | eq: -0.2062 (-0.0003) |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.28% (G:15.46% B:0.88%) 54.72% (G:19.79% B:1.30%) | Conf.: ±0.0080 (-0.2143...-0.1982) - [47.9%] Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds |
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| 3. | XG Roller++ | 13/10 13/8 | eq: -0.2687 (-0.0628) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.76% (G:13.50% B:0.70%) 56.24% (G:19.51% B:1.27%) | |
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| 4. | XG Roller++ | 24/16 | eq: -0.2883 (-0.0824) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.74% (G:11.13% B:0.52%) 55.26% (G:20.11% B:0.80%) | |
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| 5. | XG Roller++ | 13/5 | eq: -0.3310 (-0.1251) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.91% (G:12.98% B:0.63%) 57.09% (G:20.43% B:1.53%) | |
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1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
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