MCG "My feeling is that XG Roller is much stronger than any kind of eval (and plenty strong, although it still has its faults) in back gameish positions."
Oh you mean in a position like this?
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| XGID=-a-----------ABBBBBBB--gg-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.742% (G:55.927% B:0.179%) | 36.497% (G:29.681% B:0.000%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.258% (G:3.205% B:0.000%) | 63.503% (G:8.045% B:0.000%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.8439 | -0.1074 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0.9276 | ±0.0991 (+0.8286..+1.0267) |
| Redouble/Beaver: | -0.5880 (-1.5156) | ±0.3624 (-0.9504..-0.2256) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.0000 (+0.0724) | |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver | ||
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 48.8% | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 92.4% | |
| Beaver Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 30 minutes 47 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01