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Rollout - Sort of

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 22 December 2006, at 9:23 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. Dec. 21st (Stick)

This rollout is lost but before I rebooted I was able to grab the #s of the finished rollout. Unfortunately since I'm a dipshit I didn't grab the live cube #s also, but this is still how the plays ranked and their equity w/the proper amounts of wins/g/bgs. The # of games is also correct but the 'equivalent' # of games is fabricated to around what it usually is. (typically 50 X #of actual games, give or take) I may redo this rollout sometime in the future when nothing else is running but I'm pissed off right now the rollout is lost so ---


Match to 25, White leads 7 to 2
154
149
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/18 11/8 0.234
0.5% 10.4% 57.3% 42.7% 11.0% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: XXX
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: XXX - live cube: XXX ±0.XXX. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 64800 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
2 R 24/15 0.212 (-0.022)
0.4% 9.5% 57.4% 42.6% 12.8% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: XXX
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: XXX - live cube: XXX Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 64800 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
3 R 13/4* 0.200 (-0.033)
0.7% 14.1% 55.7% 44.3% 14.4% 0.9%
Live cube rollout: 0.XXX
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: XXX, - live cube: XXX. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 64800 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

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