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Yet Another 3-away 4-away cube position

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 10 October 2011, at 7:41 a.m.

In Response To: Another 3-away 4-away cube position (Daniel Murphy)

As you can see below, I rolled this position out 5,308,416 times. Why did I roll out such a simple position so many times? I wanted to break, own and hold the world record for rolling out a backgammon position the most times.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 2
4 point match
pip: 7
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=---AA------------------a--:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:4:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 47.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 47.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 52.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 52.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.056 +0.108
Cubeful Equities
No double:-0.056 (-0.163)±0.000 (-0.056..-0.056)
Double/Take:+0.108±0.000 (+0.108..+0.108)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.892)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5308416 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 38 minutes 23 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: eXtremeGammon

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