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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 12 October 2011, at 5:41 p.m.

In Response To: Shot and race cube action (neilkaz)

OTB I figured that I could win this almost 70% of the time so with 14 crushing hits this just had to be a proper cube. No wimping out bcuz I was the stronger player and if I roll 62 or 61 and he recubes..that's just too bad.

I posted this, expecting most if not all to get it right, bcuz this is the sort of cube almost no one gave in the prebot era.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 76
13 point match
pip: 79
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBCD-a--B-a-----bcbbbb-:0:0:1:00:6:3:0:13:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.519% (G:1.728% B:0.018%) 69.788% (G:1.519% B:0.019%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.481% (G:0.125% B:0.003%) 30.212% (G:0.127% B:0.003%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4071 +0.8337
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.4905 (-0.0966)±0.0054 (+0.4851..+0.4958)
Double/Take:+0.5871±0.0069 (+0.5802..+0.5940)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.4129)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 32.4 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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