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Compare to 43D-52S-42

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 15 October 2011, at 7:13 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: 43D-32Z-31P-51P-42 (Timothy Chow)


2O ' ' '2X4X '3X ' ' '3O

1X '1X '2O4O '2O1O1O '4X

43D-52S-31P-31P-42


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X ' ' '3O

1X '1X ' '5O '3O1O1O '4X

43D-52S-42


On the left is Tim's position, 43D-32Z-31P-51P-42. White's plays (on the second and fourth rolls of the game) have been changed from 32Z + 52P to 52S + 31P, but the position is identical. His rollout result is [D Z74] "<2.

On the right is the same position, except that neither side has played 31P. It has been reduced to the third roll position 43D-52S-42. I have a truncated rollout result of [D P4 Z74] ~1t.

In other words, in both positions, D (Down, 13/9 10/8) beats Z (reverse split, 13/9 24/22) by .074. I'll do an XG rollout and post it later, but I don't expect it to differ significantly from the old Snowie trunc.

It is worth noting that if Blue plays Z, White will not be able to hit outside with 54 and 52 on the left. OTOH, her second inside point makes the remaining hitting numbers more valuable.

Nack

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