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Rollout

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Saturday, 15 October 2011, at 9:09 p.m.

In Response To: -3, -6 cube action (Michael Nielsen)

I just figured there was lots of play left in this position (at least enough AtS) so I took, but the made ace point and the shitty anchor makes it difficult.
White is Michael

score: 3
pip: 120
9 point match
pip: 136
score: 6

Blue is XG Roller
XGID=-B--bCCC-B--b--a-babcb-B--:0:0:-1:00:3:6:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.62% (G:16.60% B:0.57%) 79.22% (G:16.77% B:1.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.38% (G:3.76% B:0.08%) 20.78% (G:3.94% B:0.21%)
Cubeless Equities +0.735 +1.446
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.887 (-0.113)±0.005 (+0.882..+0.892)
Double/Take:+1.152 (+0.152)±0.014 (+1.138..+1.166)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 28 minutes 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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