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Making the ace wins more gammons!

Posted By: svilo
Date: Monday, 17 October 2011, at 9:55 a.m.

In Response To: switching gears (svilo)

Showing only first 5 plays not to clutter the picture. The other 5-6 moves rolled out did not change much their evaluation - more than 1% error. Since it is a DMP - much ado about nothing :)

The original XG play (making the ace) came third after rollouts.

The actual move came back second and an unexpected winner emerged.

Making the ace (speed play) wins most gammons - 67% - about 1.5% more than the winning (at DMP) ace-bait play.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 174 1 point match pip: 134 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=----a-EBC-A-ea-----bbbbB-B:0:0:-1:66:0:0:0:1:10
to play 66

1.	Rollout1	21/15* 13/7 13/1	eq: +0.629
	Player: Opponent: 81.47% (G:63.67% B:24.77%) 18.53% (G:0.81% B:0.08%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.626...+0.633) - [95.7%] Duration: 3 hours 13 minutes
2.	Rollout2	21/15* 13/7(2) 12/6	eq: +0.625 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 81.24% (G:65.25% B:23.40%) 18.76% (G:0.63% B:0.06%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.622...+0.628) - [2.3%] Duration: 3 hours 37 minutes
3.	Rollout3	13/1(2)	eq: +0.623 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 81.13% (G:67.36% B:21.11%) 18.87% (G:0.53% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.620...+0.625) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 47 minutes
4.	Rollout4	21/15* 13/7(3)	eq: +0.622 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 81.09% (G:63.55% B:23.21%) 18.91% (G:0.75% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.615...+0.628) - [1.7%] Duration: 44 minutes 54 seconds
5.	Rollout4	21/15* 15/9 13/7(2)	eq: +0.619 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 80.95% (G:64.03% B:24.33%) 19.05% (G:0.86% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.612...+0.625) - [0.2%] Duration: 57 minutes 28 seconds
1 4932 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5093 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 4933 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 4 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
  svilo -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 5:56 p.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    svilo -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 6:14 p.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 6:50 p.m.
    • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
      svilo -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 7:03 p.m.
      • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
        Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 7:15 p.m.
        • +1 *NM*
          svilo -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 8:23 p.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 4 October 2011, at 8:32 p.m.
    • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
      Bob Glass -- Thursday, 6 October 2011, at 10:47 p.m.
      • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
        Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 11 October 2011, at 1:19 p.m.
      • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
        joe freedman -- Wednesday, 12 October 2011, at 3:28 a.m.
        • You Really Got Me
          Bob Glass -- Thursday, 13 October 2011, at 8:33 p.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 5 October 2011, at 6:20 a.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    Michael Petch -- Wednesday, 5 October 2011, at 8:20 a.m.
  • can't explain (the WHO or the Kinks?)
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 14 October 2011, at 12:25 a.m.
    • switching gears
      svilo -- Friday, 14 October 2011, at 9:45 p.m.
      • Making the ace wins more gammons!
        svilo -- Monday, 17 October 2011, at 9:55 a.m.
        • Making the ace wins more gammons!
          Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 17 October 2011, at 10:25 a.m.
          • Making the ace wins more gammons! I wonder
            svilo -- Monday, 17 October 2011, at 11:06 a.m.
            • Making the ace wins more gammons! I wonder
              Stick -- Monday, 17 October 2011, at 11:12 a.m.
          • Making the ace wins more gammons!
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 17 October 2011, at 9:59 p.m.