The 32S-51S-43Z-43 position of this thread is the fourth entry below ("21pt"); the rest are variants. The first column tells us how White's anchor has been altered, with everything else remaining the same.
24pt [@ H24]
23pt [@ H75]
22pt [@ H4]
21pt [H @49]
20pt [H @18]
18pt [H @110]
The XG2 rollout results (5k trials, 3-ply checker with roller cube) are nacbrac'ed in the second column, and detailed below. It's interesting to ponder the fluctuating margins as White's anchor becomes more advanced.
Nack
          
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 161 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-D---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:34:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 24pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: +0.256 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.80% (G:13.77% B:0.51%)
44.20% (G:8.26% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.249...+0.263) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: +0.232 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.26% (G:16.85% B:1.25%)
44.74% (G:12.62% B:0.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.224...+0.240) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 17 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 159 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--b---E-D---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 23pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: +0.291 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.66% (G:13.30% B:0.48%)
43.34% (G:7.86% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.284...+0.298) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: +0.216 (-0.075) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.33% (G:15.59% B:0.85%)
44.67% (G:12.80% B:0.50%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.207...+0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 24 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 157 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---b--E-D---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 22pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: +0.136 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.02% (G:10.31% B:0.36%)
46.98% (G:7.80% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.129...+0.142) - [78.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: +0.132 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.52% (G:13.72% B:0.61%)
46.48% (G:13.07% B:0.48%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.123...+0.140) - [21.8%]
Duration: 3 hours 19 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 155 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----b-E-D---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:34:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 21pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: +0.049 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.80% (G:11.61% B:0.48%)
48.20% (G:13.45% B:0.48%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.041...+0.057) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: +0.000 (-0.049) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.88% (G:7.64% B:0.27%)
50.12% (G:7.31% B:0.23%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.006...+0.006) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 153 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-----bE-D---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 20pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: -0.056 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.62% (G:9.89% B:0.38%)
50.38% (G:13.88% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.063...-0.048) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 29 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: -0.073 (-0.018) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.72% (G:5.67% B:0.18%)
52.28% (G:6.04% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.079...-0.068) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 32 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 149 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 161
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=------EbD---cDa-ac-e---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White has 18pt anchor |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/16* | eq: -0.050 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.15% (G:11.87% B:0.47%)
50.85% (G:13.44% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.058...-0.042) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/20 | eq: -0.160 (-0.110) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.19% (G:6.31% B:0.20%)
54.81% (G:5.86% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.165...-0.154) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00