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OLM Mo 10/17/11 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 12:33 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Mo 10/17/11 (Jason Lee)





White is XG Roller++

score: 10
pip: 100
15 point match
pip: 124
score: 11

Blue is BGO Readers
XGID=---b-CE-BBa--A-aB--b--cdb-:1:1:1:00:11:10:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.77% (G:17.92% B:1.06%) 79.94% (G:16.62% B:0.83%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.23% (G:2.60% B:0.02%) 20.06% (G:3.26% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.827 +1.552
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.041±0.002 (+1.039..+1.043)
Redouble/Take:+1.354 (+0.313)±0.004 (+1.350..+1.358)
* Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.041)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 11.6%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2839552
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller++
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 day 06 hours 50 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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