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Best answer: 31P-44I-C

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 3:46 a.m.

In Response To: How about this one? (Carlo Melzi)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 163 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BD-B---eE---c-a---dB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
31P-44I-C

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.35% (G:29.41% B:1.76%)	75.22% (G:30.19% B:1.97%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.65% (G:5.54% B:0.28%)	24.78% (G:5.36% B:0.24%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.761	+1.540
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.978 (-0.022)	±0.003 (+0.974..+0.981)
Double/Take:	+1.353 (+0.353)	±0.010 (+1.343..+1.363)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 724 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 54 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

The above position was the best solution I found and Carlo nailed it. Other strong possibilities are that Blue plays 61N, 21I, 63Z or 43Z, and White replies with 44I or 55I. I haven't rolled them all out, but 31P-44I-C, if taken, gives Blue the clearly highest equity according to XGR++ eval. It is considerably higher than (for example) the multiple-blot solution of 31P-33A-C (where A = 8/5(2) 5/2 6/3).

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• Quickest double/drop for money
  leobueno -- Wednesday, 26 October 2011, at 10:49 p.m.
  • Quickest double/drop for money
    Stick -- Wednesday, 26 October 2011, at 11:02 p.m.
    • Please use standard notation for the donkies like me. *NM*
      leobueno -- Friday, 28 October 2011, at 8:50 p.m.
      • Suggestion
        Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 4:02 a.m.
        • Suggestion
          Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 4:05 a.m.
  • Quickest double/drop for money
    Carlo Melzi -- Wednesday, 26 October 2011, at 11:12 p.m.
    • Quickest double/drop for money
      Stick -- Wednesday, 26 October 2011, at 11:38 p.m.
    • I Take 62S-55A-F-C In A Chouette
      Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 3:47 a.m.
      • I Take 62S-55A-F-C In A Chouette
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 6:59 a.m.
        • I Take 62S-55A-F-C In A Chouette
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 8:33 p.m.
      • +1 *NM*
        Carlo Melzi -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 7:34 a.m.
    • Correct Nactation
      Carlo Melzi -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 7:30 a.m.
      • Two-roll cube puzzle
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 5:20 p.m.
        • How about this one?
          Carlo Melzi -- Thursday, 27 October 2011, at 5:50 p.m.
          • Best answer: 31P-44I-C
            Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 3:46 a.m.
            • Best answer: 31P-44I-C
              Stick -- Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 6:29 a.m.
              • Best answer: 31P-44I-C
                Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 3:59 p.m.
        • Two-roll cube puzzle
          leobueno -- Friday, 28 October 2011, at 8:52 p.m.