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BGonline.org Forums
Best answer: 31P-44I-C
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Best answer: 31P-44I-C (Nack Ballard)
Date: Saturday, 29 October 2011, at 6:29 a.m.
I don't know what you mean by 21I, 43Z or 63Z followed by either 44I or 55I being candidates. Unless I've not understood something the equity after those sequences shouldn't be anywhere near what we have for these other rollouts according to XGR+. Here are some quickies.
41$-44I
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 151Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 162
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-b---AD-CA--eD---c-a---dB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.356% (G:28.355% B:1.595%) 74.263% (G:28.038% B:1.638%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.644% (G:6.009% B:0.345%) 25.737% (G:5.789% B:0.265%) Cubeless Equities +0.7231 +1.4430 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.9526 (-0.0474) ±0.0117 (+0.9409..+0.9643) Double/Take: +1.2403 (+0.2403) ±0.0327 (+1.2076..+1.2730) Double/Pass: +1.0000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 756 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 97329322
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 10 minutes 54 seconds
61N-44I
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 151Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-b---ADAC---eD---c-a---dB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.606% (G:28.222% B:1.626%) 74.712% (G:28.698% B:1.773%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.394% (G:5.770% B:0.295%) 25.288% (G:5.460% B:0.256%) Cubeless Equities +0.7300 +1.4836 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.9538 (-0.0462) ±0.0067 (+0.9471..+0.9606) Double/Take: +1.2942 (+0.2942) ±0.0191 (+1.2751..+1.3133) Double/Pass: +1.0000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8936818
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 18 minutes 37 seconds
31E-55I or 31W-55I
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 147Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 164
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-b---AD-C---eE---c-a-A--dA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 74.425% (G:25.987% B:1.067%) 75.753% (G:28.152% B:1.192%) Opponent Winning Chances: 25.575% (G:5.389% B:0.125%) 24.247% (G:5.244% B:0.099%) Cubeless Equities +0.7039 +1.5101 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.9693 (-0.0307) ±0.0102 (+0.9591..+0.9796) Double/Take: +1.3192 (+0.3192) ±0.0201 (+1.2991..+1.3393) Double/Pass: +1.0000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36812455
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 22 minutes 20 seconds
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