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DMP - What on earth are you thinking about? Story & Results

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 4 September 2007, at 4:30 p.m.

In Response To: DMP - What on earth are you thinking about? Story & Results (Keene)

Zare just put up an article on late loose hits and Lamford's 10% rule on GammonVillage. I think the prototype 10% rule is something like this:

White76


2X2X2X2X2X3X '1X ' ' ' '

2O2O2O '1X4O2O3O ' ' ' '

Blue74

Position ID: 27YTAALbeDsAAA Match ID: QYkGAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/2 -0.100
0.527 0.001 0.000 - 0.473 0.001 0.000
2 2 8/3 6/5* -0.108 ( -0.009)
0.495 0.007 0.000 - 0.505 0.038 0.000

Blue leads by 12% after no hit.

White75


2X2X3X2X2X2X ' ' '1X ' '

2O2O2O '1X4O2O3O ' ' ' '

Blue74

Position ID: 221DAALbeDsAAA Match ID: QYkGAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/3 6/5* -0.109
0.495 0.011 0.000 - 0.505 0.036 0.000
2 2 8/2 -0.119 ( -0.010)
0.518 0.001 0.000 - 0.482 0.001 0.000

Blue leads by 10% after no hit.

Obviously the OP is somewhat different from these. All in all, I'm not sure that this rule is very good/generalizable.

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