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OLM Su 10/30/11

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 31 October 2011, at 3:37 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Su 10/30/11 (Jason Lee)

This is a clearcut choice between making the 2pt, and lifting our blots.

The lift play, 10/4 11/8, leaves spares on all our points. We could make the 2pt next time with 16 rolls (23, 24, 26, 34, 36, 46, 22, 33, 44, 66). Another 5 rolls would force us to leave a shot (66, 65, 61).

If we make the 2pt now, White will likely choose to hit when he can (11 shots: 61, 62, 63, 64, 43, 44). After any of these except the anti-joker 44, we would have a double direct shot from the bar. After 44, most or all of our advantage would be lost.

My vote: 8/2, 5/2

Mike

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