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Play these ducks - RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 9 November 2011, at 1:05 p.m.

In Response To: Play these ducks (Daniel Murphy)

I put the at-the-score rollout in the post above. Here's a rollout for a normal game.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: Blue to play 22

White	136
Blue	135
Position ID: M23gYAjB84ZhAA Match ID: cAkJAAAAAAAE

• Blue moves 17/15(2) 13/11(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.1408
	0.5600 0.1112 0.0021 - 0.4400 0.0916 0.0008
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.2044
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.7956
3.	Double, take	-0.0176	-0.2219
Proper cube action:		No double, beaver (21.8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	17/15(2) 13/11(2)	+0.3549
			0.6059 0.0625 0.0017 - 0.3941 0.0504 0.0013 +0.2243 +0.3549 0.0013 0.0015 0.0004 - 0.0013 0.0013 0.0002 0.0030 0.0064
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	+0.3381 ( -0.0168)
			0.5931 0.1027 0.0032 - 0.4069 0.0644 0.0015 +0.2263 +0.3381 0.0012 0.0017 0.0002 - 0.0012 0.0015 0.0002 0.0030 0.0067
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/9(2)	+0.3196 ( -0.0353)
			0.5924 0.0664 0.0015 - 0.4076 0.0393 0.0013 +0.2121 +0.3196 0.0012 0.0015 0.0003 - 0.0012 0.0012 0.0002 0.0028 0.0054
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	17/13(2)	+0.2979 ( -0.0570)
			0.5831 0.0623 0.0029 - 0.4169 0.0571 0.0008 +0.1734 +0.2979 0.0020 0.0024 0.0008 - 0.0020 0.0019 0.0002 0.0048 0.0119
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			540 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	8/4 6/4(2)	+0.2718 ( -0.0830)
			0.5731 0.1097 0.0034 - 0.4269 0.0824 0.0016 +0.1753 +0.2718 0.0020 0.0028 0.0004 - 0.0020 0.0024 0.0004 0.0053 0.0121
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			540 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	8/4(2)	+0.2651 ( -0.0898)
			0.5680 0.1235 0.0034 - 0.4320 0.0944 0.0021 +0.1665 +0.2651 0.0020 0.0026 0.0004 - 0.0020 0.0026 0.0005 0.0052 0.0119
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			540 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	7	R	17/15(2) 6/4(2)	+0.2611 ( -0.0938)
			0.5782 0.0705 0.0025 - 0.4218 0.0696 0.0010 +0.1586 +0.2611 0.0020 0.0025 0.0005 - 0.0020 0.0023 0.0003 0.0048 0.0101
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			540 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 932855364 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Play these ducks
  Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 5 November 2011, at 12:49 a.m.
  • Play these ducks
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 5 November 2011, at 1:31 a.m.
    • Play these ducks
      Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 5 November 2011, at 9:08 a.m.
  • Play these ducks
    kruidenbuiltje -- Saturday, 5 November 2011, at 8:20 a.m.
  • Play these ducks
    Ben E. -- Monday, 7 November 2011, at 2:55 p.m.
  • Play these ducks
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 8 November 2011, at 12:39 p.m.
    • Play these ducks - RO
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 9 November 2011, at 1:05 p.m.
      • Play these ducks - RO
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 13 November 2011, at 12:03 a.m.