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52S-42P-62

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 14 November 2011, at 6:15 p.m.

In Response To: 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious? (Timothy Chow)

52S-42P-62

In moving Blue's 23pt blot to the 22pt, you have created the possibility of anchoring with 62. Typically, 52S-xxx-62Z (Z being 24/22 13/7) is the best play.

If we ignore the Z "spoiler," we can still compare S (Split, 22/16 13/11) and R (Run, 22/14). I would guess that S is a little better than R, though it should be close (between those two) in any case.

Having already played 13/8 causes (an additional) 13/11 to be a much less desirable development, though probably desirable nonetheless even with the other blot exposed in the outfield. Blue has already hurdled White's 8pt; the considerations of having run to the 18pt vs 16pt (even without the non-trivial 4-duplication present in 51S-42P-62R that you mentioned) are generally more significant than those of being on the 16pt vs 14pt.

Having gotten his lead back checker off the 18pt (where he is exposed to both 6s and 1s), Blue is less likely to be hit, which means that he will be covering his 11pt blot or making a better point on the next roll substantially more often.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious?
  Taper_Mike -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 1:13 a.m.
  • 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious?
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 2:30 a.m.
    • 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious?
      David Rockwell -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 3:44 a.m.
    • 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious?
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 4:03 p.m.
      • 52S-42P-62
        Nack Ballard -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 6:15 p.m.
        • 52S-42P-62 ***RO***
          Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 8:25 p.m.
  • 51S-42P-62 — Is this too obvious?
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 14 November 2011, at 4:20 p.m.
  • 51S-42P-62 — 52S-42P-62 — 5k, 3-ply Rollouts
    Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 5:58 a.m.