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Middle game 43

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 10:52 p.m.

In Response To: Middle game 43 (Jeremy Bagai)

With our strong board and elevated gammon value and opponent's reduced gammon value, we'd like to get a direct shot at one of her blots next time, and we don't care that much about get (singly) hit in the process. Failing that, since we have a race lead, we could also race.

The first plays I looked at here were the mega-blotty bar/22 13/9 and bar/21 13/10 (with big boardage, seek big blottage). However, these give White quite a lot of double-hitting rolls that will not produce our desired direct shot next turn, so I think they're too loose.

Another idea is to hang back as much as possible and build our board with bar/22 7/3. This looks pretty good because White is now facing direct-shot danger on both of her blots and it won't be so easy for her to clean up both blots. We'll keep this one in mind.

The remaining candidates seem to be bar/22 15/11 and bar/21 23/20. Each of these aims two attackers at one of White's blots and one attacker at the other. White has some double-hitting rolls but (other than doublets) they leave a blot in her board for us to shoot at. Between these two I think I prefer bar/22 15/11 because White's joker doublets are less painful, though I'm not sure about this, because stepping up probably retains more of our racing vig.

So I guess I'm playing bar/22 and have to choose between 7/3 and 15/11. I think I like 15/11 better because it gives us more immediate contact with White's blots.

Bar/22 15/11.

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