In problem 1, I was right: I don't blitz aggressively enough. The merits of slotting the 2pt are clear with hindsight, but I didn't consider it.
Problem 3 might make a good DQR candidate if 13/2 rolls out better than 13/8 13/7 by 0.030 or more.
        
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 198 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 136
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=ad-B-BC-B-B-cB---b-bBb-a--:1:-1:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 10/2 8/4(2) | eq: +1.220 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.80% (G:56.13% B:12.39%)
19.20% (G:1.50% B:0.06%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 8/4(2) 6/2 | eq: +1.206 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.53% (G:55.68% B:12.44%)
19.47% (G:1.87% B:0.09%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 20/16 8/4(2) 6/2 | eq: +1.169 (-0.051) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 79.81% (G:54.19% B:12.46%)
20.19% (G:2.33% B:0.13%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 20/16(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +1.146 (-0.074) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 79.79% (G:52.75% B:10.75%)
20.21% (G:1.57% B:0.06%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 20/16 13/9 8/4(2) | eq: +1.145 (-0.075) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.59% (G:53.73% B:12.74%)
21.41% (G:1.78% B:0.09%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 10/6 8/4(2) | eq: +1.141 (-0.079) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.52% (G:54.13% B:12.03%)
21.48% (G:1.73% B:0.07%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller+ | 13/5 8/4(2) | eq: +1.125 (-0.095) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.03% (G:53.59% B:12.08%)
21.97% (G:1.67% B:0.06%) | |
|
| 8. | XG Roller+ | 20/16 10/6 8/4(2) | eq: +1.117 (-0.103) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 77.66% (G:53.17% B:12.59%)
22.34% (G:1.74% B:0.07%) | |
|
| 9. | XG Roller+ | 13/9(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +1.116 (-0.104) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 77.98% (G:52.98% B:11.75%)
22.02% (G:1.51% B:0.06%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
    
 
    
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 142 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--A-a-D-BB--eC-a-b-dC-b---:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 20/15* 6/3 | eq: -0.074 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.62% (G:11.09% B:0.42%)
51.38% (G:13.25% B:0.57%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 20/15* 13/10 | eq: -0.104 (-0.029) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.92% (G:10.95% B:0.38%)
52.08% (G:13.49% B:0.60%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 20/15* 9/6 | eq: -0.213 (-0.139) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.81% (G:10.66% B:0.35%)
55.19% (G:14.32% B:0.64%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 13/8 6/3 | eq: -0.222 (-0.148) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.83% (G:9.15% B:0.24%)
57.17% (G:8.27% B:0.32%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 13/5 | eq: -0.300 (-0.225) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.95% (G:9.33% B:0.25%)
59.05% (G:10.20% B:0.41%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 8/3 6/3 | eq: -0.309 (-0.235) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.47% (G:9.60% B:0.25%)
59.53% (G:9.77% B:0.38%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 131 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 138
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--A-bCB-BC--cB---a-dBcb---:0:0:1:56:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 56 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/2 | eq: +0.167 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.20% (G:10.94% B:0.34%)
44.80% (G:7.65% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 13/8 13/7 | eq: +0.137 (-0.030) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.37% (G:10.39% B:0.30%)
45.63% (G:8.06% B:0.27%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 8/3 8/2 | eq: +0.115 (-0.052) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.77% (G:10.19% B:0.28%)
46.23% (G:8.02% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 13/8 9/3 | eq: +0.097 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.38% (G:10.31% B:0.31%)
46.62% (G:8.28% B:0.29%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 9/3 8/3 | eq: +0.052 (-0.115) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.77% (G:12.64% B:0.44%)
48.23% (G:10.27% B:0.39%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 20/9 | eq: -0.071 (-0.238) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.83% (G:8.72% B:0.38%)
49.17% (G:16.14% B:0.33%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21