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Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:57 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame (neilkaz)

Blue threatens to hit a bunch of blots and roll home while White dances.

Yes, that's the threat, exactly. But I'm certainly taking now. Next roll? I hate to pass well-established backgames that have what appears to be decent timing. But I think if you hit two checkers now and I fanned, I'd pass next roll. I'd have two on the bar and two more blots in danger. The structure of the backgame is fine -- 2 points made, fair timing, and a well-formed 7-checker front position that won't be too far advanced as long as I can spring a back checker or two. But this backgame would be a lot better if you had a full prime in front of it. As it is, you only have the 8 and 7 points to clear before you start bearing off. After that you only have the 6 and 5 points to clear that give me a chance at a double shot. I think you'd be close enough to bearing in and off that I'd rate to lose the race to rebuild a home board in time.

So there are market losers for me. I think, though, that if you hit one checker only, or if you do anything at all and I don't fan, I'm going to take next roll.

In sum, I think it's an easy take now. You have at least a few market losers. The take decision may be much more difficult next roll. I wouldn't double now unless I expected a pass. If I were you I'd wait a roll, and give me or another opponent a chance to muff the cube action next roll, and of course reserve your ability to put off the double a while longer -- there must be a lot of sequences after which no way should you be doubling next roll.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 11:26 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 11:47 p.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 12:37 a.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        Mr Majestyk -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 10:49 a.m.
        • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 3:08 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 12:03 a.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Mr Majestyk -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:18 p.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 6:16 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    David Kettler -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 5:30 a.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Marcos Nahhas -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 2:38 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 2:55 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:11 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:26 p.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Stick -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:36 p.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 5:51 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:57 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 November 2011, at 3:08 a.m.