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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 17 November 2011, at 3:08 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame (neilkaz)

My opp cubed this and I snatched it up. Some players still cube backgames too early. The 7 misses could turn out quite bad for him as evidenced by the 7% G's he loses from here. In the game I managed to hit a late ace shot when he had 10 off but couldn't win it.

		White is neilkaz score: 0 pip: 188 11 point match pip: 116 score: 2 Blue is Tamma
XGID=-a--aBBACA---A---bbbdBcB-A:0:0:-1:00:0:2:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	56.177% (G:41.517% B:4.204%)	56.164% (G:41.267% B:4.199%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	43.823% (G:7.078% B:0.306%)	43.836% (G:7.296% B:0.323%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5128	+1.0082
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.5674	±0.0206 (+0.5468..+0.5879)
Double/Take:	+0.4439 (-0.1235)	±0.0282 (+0.4157..+0.4721)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.4326)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18.2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67389374 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 8 hours 19 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 11:26 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 15 November 2011, at 11:47 p.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 12:37 a.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        Mr Majestyk -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 10:49 a.m.
        • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 3:08 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 12:03 a.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Mr Majestyk -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:18 p.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 6:16 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    David Kettler -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 5:30 a.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Marcos Nahhas -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 2:38 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 2:55 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:11 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:26 p.m.
    • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
      Stick -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:36 p.m.
      • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
        christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 5:51 p.m.
  • Cube action when likely to pound a bunch of blots vs a 42 backgame
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 November 2011, at 4:57 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 November 2011, at 3:08 a.m.