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Daily Quiz 11/14: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 19 November 2011, at 7:39 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 11/14 (Daily Quiz)

Looks like I was wrong about the bot hating all kamikaze plays. GNU says there are 256 legal plays here and XG1 only allows us to look at 32 of them (and export 15 of them). So there's no guarantee that if we ran all 256 plays through XGR+, these would be the top 15.

The theme of breaking the 6pt in order to let White in sooner and in order to pre-kill 5's showed up on this year's USBGF World Giants Challenge Quiz. I should have considered it.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 123
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-ABBBB-A--a-A--bbbcbbBB--:1:1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.XG Roller+8/6 3/1eq: -0.917
Player:
Opponent:		 19.23% (G:1.57% B:0.02%)
80.77% (G:36.13% B:2.21%)
2.XG Roller+8/5 6/5eq: -0.933 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		 17.02% (G:1.18% B:0.02%)
82.98% (G:32.60% B:1.72%)
3.XG Roller+13/12 8/5eq: -0.937 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.57% (G:1.42% B:0.03%)
84.43% (G:30.20% B:1.40%)
4.XG Roller+13/12 8/7 6/5(2)eq: -0.939 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.62% (G:1.16% B:0.02%)
84.38% (G:30.18% B:1.44%)
5.XG Roller+13/12 6/5 6/4eq: -0.945 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.34% (G:1.05% B:0.01%)
84.66% (G:29.99% B:1.47%)
6.XG Roller+8/7 6/5 6/4eq: -0.953 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		 14.90% (G:1.11% B:0.02%)
85.10% (G:29.92% B:1.39%)
7.XG Roller+8/4eq: -0.954 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.59% (G:1.32% B:0.03%)
84.41% (G:31.71% B:1.58%)
8.XG Roller+13/12 6/3eq: -0.955 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		 16.60% (G:1.18% B:0.02%)
83.40% (G:33.63% B:1.94%)
9.XG Roller+13/12 8/6 2/1eq: -0.957 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.23% (G:1.45% B:0.03%)
84.77% (G:31.35% B:1.49%)
10.XG Roller+13/12 8/6 4/3eq: -0.960 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		 16.33% (G:1.20% B:0.02%)
83.67% (G:33.53% B:1.89%)
11.XG Roller+6/5 6/3eq: -0.961 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		 14.44% (G:0.98% B:0.01%)
85.56% (G:29.50% B:1.35%)
12.XG Roller+8/5 2/1eq: -0.961 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.02% (G:1.36% B:0.03%)
84.98% (G:31.09% B:1.49%)
13.XG Roller+8/5 4/3eq: -0.968 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		 16.35% (G:1.17% B:0.02%)
83.65% (G:34.24% B:1.98%)
14.XG Roller+13/11* 8/7 2/1eq: -0.971 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.47% (G:2.52% B:0.11%)
84.53% (G:34.06% B:1.84%)
15.XG Roller+8/7 6/3eq: -0.979 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		 15.96% (G:1.15% B:0.02%)
84.04% (G:34.47% B:1.97%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--aBE-B-A-eC---b-bbBb---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.XG Roller+8/4* 4/1* eq: +0.092
Player:
Opponent:		 50.53% (G:19.80% B:0.47%)
49.47% (G:12.21% B:0.53%)
2.XG Roller+13/10 6/2eq: +0.091 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		 51.63% (G:15.22% B:0.53%)
48.37% (G:11.10% B:0.46%)
3.XG Roller+10/3eq: +0.026 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		 49.67% (G:13.69% B:0.40%)
50.33% (G:9.95% B:0.40%)
4.XG Roller+8/5 8/4* eq: +0.025 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		 49.25% (G:16.74% B:0.56%)
50.75% (G:12.06% B:0.50%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bE-C-B-bCA-acbe----A-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.XG Roller+24/23 14/10eq: -0.405
Player:
Opponent:		 41.22% (G:5.00% B:0.16%)
58.78% (G:15.25% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller+24/20 14/13eq: -0.410 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		 41.54% (G:4.35% B:0.13%)
58.46% (G:15.24% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller+14/10 8/7eq: -0.437 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		 40.32% (G:6.26% B:0.21%)
59.68% (G:16.31% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller+14/9eq: -0.438 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		 40.30% (G:5.76% B:0.20%)
59.70% (G:16.32% B:0.39%)
5.XG Roller+14/13 8/4eq: -0.467 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.67% (G:5.22% B:0.17%)
60.33% (G:16.17% B:0.33%)
6.XG Roller+14/13 6/2eq: -0.470 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.78% (G:5.19% B:0.16%)
60.22% (G:16.75% B:0.32%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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