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Accuracy & Reliability

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 5:23 p.m.

In Response To: Accuracy & Reliability (Mr Majestyk)

I cannot imagine there will be any signficant different save rounding. But if someone has Sconyers data it is worth checking (use the Analyze>>race forumas>>EPC to see the details)

The only assumptions are

  • To maximize your winning chances gammon is disregarded and vice-versa.
  • The best move is the one that minimize the average number of roll to bear-off (which we know can be wrong when a few checkers are left, which is why XG uses a two-sided DB in these cases)

    in other words it assumes there is a no positions where the move played to save the gammon is different than the one you'd play to win or does not matter (if you have risk of lossing a gammon you typically as 0.00% chances to win anyway)

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