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XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 23 November 2011, at 3:08 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 11/17 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 166
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa--aE-CA--dC---abeB---A-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller+24/17* eq: +0.320
Player:
Opponent:		 58.02% (G:15.66% B:0.83%)
41.98% (G:8.34% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller+8/2* 6/5* eq: +0.238 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		 55.04% (G:17.65% B:1.19%)
44.96% (G:11.68% B:0.57%)
3.XG Roller+13/7 8/7eq: +0.172 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		 54.30% (G:13.56% B:0.58%)
45.70% (G:9.59% B:0.37%)
4.XG Roller+8/2* 2/1* eq: +0.162 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		 53.43% (G:15.96% B:0.78%)
46.57% (G:10.52% B:0.47%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a---BbDBBA--bC--Acbe------:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 77.65% (G: 10.91% B: 0.26%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.35% (G: 2.65% B: 0.08%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.553
Double:+1.278
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.949 (-0.051)
Double/Take:+1.124 (+0.124)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

I decided to do a truncated rollout here because the XGR+ equities were quite close and I think a trunc should be significantly more accurate.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 88
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCBAAbB----B----abbcbba-:1:-1:1:45:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 45

1.Rollout18/4 8/3eq: +0.113
Player:
Opponent:		 60.34% (G:0.61% B:0.01%)
39.66% (G:1.45% B:0.04%)		Conf: ± 0.007 (+0.106...+0.120)
Duration: 1 minute 15 seconds
2.Rollout16/1 5/1eq: +0.100 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		 60.22% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)
39.78% (G:1.91% B:0.03%)		Conf: ± 0.007 (+0.093...+0.107)
Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 13/8eq: +0.089 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		 58.93% (G:1.17% B:0.03%)
41.07% (G:3.89% B:0.05%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.086...+0.092)
Duration: 50.1 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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