[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

3a2a Cube?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 9:39 p.m.

In Response To: 3a2a Cube? (Stick)

White needs around 27% plus a little less than half of Blue's g's to take. It's not immediately obvious if he's got that or not, so I definitely think Blue should double. Can White win this often enough to take? It's probably a close decision. White's got his 5-point and Blue's back men are still on the ace, so White will be in good shape if he can anchor. Blue does have decent gammon chances here -- there's the D5 super joker, the 52 and 32 mini-jokers, plus the many cover-fan sequences. My guesstimate is that Blue's gammons chances are in the high 20s% which makes White's takepoint a little over 40%. I don't think Blue wins quite this often, but it's certainly close. D and close pass is my opinion.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.