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Rollout: 54S-43H-53D-63R-42

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 25 November 2011, at 6:56 p.m.

In Response To: 54S-43H-53D-63R-42 (Timothy Chow)

OTB, I first dismissed 13/9* as being inferior to 20/16*. Then I figured that 24/20 10/8 was probably better than 8/4 6/4 because "either 5pt beats either 4pt." With so many blots around, I decided that hitting was better than anchoring and then played 10/8 to cut down on my blot count.

It seems that this position is an exception to the rule of thumb that "either 5pt beats either 4pt," because of all the tactical complications.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-DaA-dC--ab-eA---A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
to play 42

1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.378
Player:
Opponent:
57.60% (G:21.65% B:1.76%)
42.40% (G:11.13% B:0.54%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.369...+0.386) - [99.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes
2.Rollout120/16* 10/8eq: +0.361 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
57.16% (G:20.44% B:1.70%)
42.84% (G:10.58% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.352...+0.370) - [0.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes
3.Rollout124/22 20/16* eq: +0.353 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
57.18% (G:19.81% B:1.53%)
42.82% (G:10.75% B:0.51%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.344...+0.363) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
4.Rollout124/20 10/8eq: +0.350 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
57.69% (G:16.54% B:0.75%)
42.31% (G:7.86% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.343...+0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 23 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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