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3a2a Cube?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 11:21 p.m.

In Response To: 3a2a Cube? (Stanley E. Richards)

The takepoint ignoring gammons is approx 18/68, or 27% (Drop and it's 7-7 with 50% ME, take and lose makes it 7-8 Crawford with about 32% ME, take and win wins the match with 100% ME). But a gammon loses the match so the gammon price is 32/68. The gammon-adjusted takepoint is therefore 27% plus 32/68 of the oppt's gammon chances. The oppt only needs a 16% gammon chance to raise your takepoint to 35%. 16% is just a little more than each player has at the start of the game, and I'm sure Matt's gammon chances are way over that in this position.

Messages In This Thread

• 3a2a Cube?
  Stick -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 6:46 p.m.
  • 3a2a Cube?
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 9:39 p.m.
    • Learning all the time...
      Caryl Stephanson -- Saturday, 8 September 2007, at 3:28 p.m.
  • 3a2a Cube?
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 9:53 p.m.
  • 3a2a Cube?
    Stanley E. Richards -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 10:42 p.m.
    • 3a2a Cube?
      John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 11:21 p.m.
      • yes, i misjudged (nt) *NM*
        Stanley E. Richards -- Friday, 7 September 2007, at 4:15 a.m.
  • 3a2a Cube?
    Caryl Stephanson -- Saturday, 8 September 2007, at 3:26 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 11 September 2007, at 4:45 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Matt Reklaitis -- Tuesday, 11 September 2007, at 7:49 a.m.
      • Rollout
        Stick -- Tuesday, 11 September 2007, at 8:21 p.m.