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2-1 backgame continuation - now what?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 26 November 2011, at 8:46 p.m.

In Response To: 2-1 backgame continuation - now what? (Stick)

Thanks, Stick. I would have judged White's winning chances to be in the 20-25% range, not 19%. Evidently that's too optimistic.

In any case, I wouldn't have been able to do your calculation OTB because I haven't bothered to memorize Neil's numbers or METs beyond 7 points. I'm concentrating on 7-point matches against XG and I want to get my error rate down before I expand to longer matches.

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