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Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 7 September 2007, at 9:18 p.m.

In Response To: 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle (Matt Cohn-Geier)

My play was whopperlicious. I really have no excuse for it, since I could have found it on Stick's site, but I take some solace in the fact that other strong players agreed with my decisions. It's always good to have at least one game like this, because you realize how much you may be giving up early on due to carelessness.

G11 equity is 59.964% from -2, -3. So 8/2 6/5 is the better cubeless play, but I should drop after either play.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 3 (match to 5 points)

Move number 7: Blue to play 61

White	143
Blue	163
Position ID: 4NvBwQCwZ/ABMA Match ID: UQmnABAAGAAA

• Blue moves 24/23 8/2

#		Ply	Move	MWC
	1	R	8/2 6/5	59.221%
			0.3458 0.1152 0.0172 - 0.6542 0.1614 0.0322 59.221% 59.221% 0.0022 0.0054 0.0032 - 0.0022 0.0021 0.0033 0.139% 0.139%
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070552792 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	24/23 8/2	57.713% ( -1.507%)
			0.3502 0.1176 0.0118 - 0.6498 0.1959 0.0309 57.713% 57.713% 0.0021 0.0052 0.0021 - 0.0021 0.0022 0.0034 0.146% 0.146%
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070552792 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Converted to money equity, that's -0.631 for 8/2 6/5, and -0.692 for 24/23 8/2.

Messages In This Thread

• 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 3:11 a.m.
  • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
    Stick -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 3:54 a.m.
  • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 5:37 a.m.
  • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
    Ian Shaw -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 7:33 a.m.
    • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
      Barry Murphy -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 10:41 a.m.
  • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 1:09 p.m.
  • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 6 September 2007, at 4:28 p.m.
    • 3rd roll vs. Sam Pottle
      neilkaz -- Friday, 7 September 2007, at 3:31 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 7 September 2007, at 9:18 p.m.