For Positions 11, 13, 14, 15 and 16, the rollout results both at the score and for money are posted.
Position 1.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b-BBBB-A---cD---bacb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 61.67% (G:23.97% B:2.22%) | 61.99% (G:24.75% B:2.43%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 38.33% (G:12.64% B:0.84%) | 38.01% (G:13.01% B:0.89%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.360 | +0.745 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.472 | ±0.015 (+0.458..+0.487) |
| Double/Take: | +0.456 (-0.017) | ±0.022 (+0.434..+0.478) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.528) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.0% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 89.5% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 32 minutes 42 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Position 2.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 157 | | 13 point match | pip: 132
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-c-BBBB-A---cD---bBbb-ba--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 79.80% (G:30.13% B:2.60%) | 80.05% (G:30.88% B:3.15%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.12% (G:4.21% B:0.16%) | 19.95% (G:4.52% B:0.16%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.888 | +1.835 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +1.063 | ±0.007 (+1.057..+1.070) |
| Double/Take: | +1.679 (+0.615) | ±0.026 (+1.652..+1.705) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (-0.063) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass |
| Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 9.4% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 44 minutes 54 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 3.
    
   
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 149 | | 13 point match | pip: 145
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---aCBD-----eBB--d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.17% (G:28.22% B:0.54%) | 65.10% (G:30.88% B:0.65%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.83% (G:6.61% B:0.31%) | 34.90% (G:7.15% B:0.41%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.533 | +1.124 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.732 (-0.074) | ±0.013 (+0.720..+0.745) |
| Double/Take: | +0.806 | ±0.017 (+0.789..+0.824) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.194) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 43 minutes 10 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 4.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 145 | | 13 point match | pip: 140
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---ACBCa---AeAB--d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 67.30% (G:35.53% B:0.57%) | 67.57% (G:35.87% B:0.64%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 32.70% (G:6.07% B:0.37%) | 32.43% (G:6.05% B:0.38%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.657 | +1.353 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.792 (-0.208) | ±0.011 (+0.780..+0.803) |
| Double/Take: | +1.056 (+0.056) | ±0.017 (+1.039..+1.073) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 37 minutes 30 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 5. Blue's EPC = 41.3, White's EPC = 41.4.
 
  
| | White is Player 1
score: 1
pip: 33 | | 13 point match | pip: 33
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=--AC-BB-------------ccb---:1:-1:-1:00:1:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 65.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 34.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.315 | +0.656 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.563 | ±0.003 (+0.560..+0.566) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.505 (-0.058) | ±0.003 (+0.502..+0.509) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.437) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.4% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 14.2 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 6. Blue's EPC = 22.4, White's EPC = 22.5.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 16 | | 13 point match | pip: 16
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--AA-AA-------------aba---:2:1:1:00:1:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 74.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 74.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 25.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 25.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.486 | +0.904 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.662 (-0.195) | ±0.001 (+0.661..+0.662) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.856 | ±0.001 (+0.856..+0.857) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.144) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 2.3 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 7. Here is my very valid reason for posting this position: I knew that it would piss off Stick, who is very concerned about not wasting space on the Internet. Gives me a lot of delight and satisfaction to piss off Stick.
Another very good reason for posting this position is to give me a chance to mention that I rolled it out 100,000,000 times, giving me the unofficial world record for rolling out a position the most times.
Why did Mochy double me here? No clue. It would have been quicker if he had just rolled without doubling.
 
| | White is Player 1
score: 1
pip: 5 | | 13 point match | pip: 1
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=--AA--------------------a-:3:-1:-1:00:1:0:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +1.000 | +1.453 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +1.000 | ±0.000 (+1.000..+1.000) |
| Redouble/Take: | +1.453 (+0.453) | ±0.000 (+1.453..+1.453) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
| Rollout details |
100000000 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 50.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 8 minutes 45 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 8.
| | White is Player 2
score: 8
pip: 103 | | 13 point match | pip: 119
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-AaBCBB---A---B-bcbbBaaba-:0:0:1:00:1:8:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 63.50% (G:19.68% B:0.46%) | 63.77% (G:19.83% B:0.44%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.50% (G:8.71% B:0.25%) | 36.23% (G:9.31% B:0.29%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.375 | +0.858 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.644 (-0.136) | ±0.011 (+0.632..+0.655) |
| Double/Take: | +0.780 | ±0.014 (+0.765..+0.794) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.220) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 24 minutes 49 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 9.
| | White is mochy
score: 8
pip: 99 | | 13 point match | pip: 135
score: 1
Blue is peever |
|
| XGID=-AaBBCB-------B-bbbbBbabaA:0:0:1:00:1:8:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 55.01% (G:20.01% B:0.70%) | 55.60% (G:20.70% B:0.75%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 44.99% (G:12.91% B:0.58%) | 44.40% (G:13.32% B:0.62%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.168 | +0.506 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.381 (-0.038) | ±0.013 (+0.368..+0.393) |
| Double/Take: | +0.419 | ±0.017 (+0.402..+0.436) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.581) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 6 minutes 33 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 10.
| | White is peever
score: 1
pip: 116 | | 13 point match | pip: 90
score: 8
Blue is mochy |
|
| XGID=-B-BBBB---Aa--B-bbbbBbaba-:0:0:-1:D:1:8:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 80.10% (G:1.88% B:0.02%) | 80.44% (G:1.58% B:0.03%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 19.90% (G:1.75% B:0.02%) | 19.56% (G:1.85% B:0.03%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.603 | +1.159 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.843 (-0.157) | ±0.001 (+0.842..+0.844) |
| Double/Take: | +1.005 (+0.005) | ±0.003 (+1.002..+1.008) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 20 minutes 12 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 10V. (Variation: White's 10pt blot has now been moved to the 9pt. This variation is a take.)
| | White is peever
score: 1
pip: 115 | | 13 point match | pip: 90
score: 8
Blue is mochy |
|
| XGID=-B-BBBB--A-a--B-bbbbBbaba-:0:0:-1:D:1:8:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 79.68% (G:1.83% B:0.03%) | 79.94% (G:1.54% B:0.02%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.32% (G:1.82% B:0.02%) | 20.06% (G:1.85% B:0.03%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.594 | +1.139 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.842 (-0.144) | ±0.003 (+0.839..+0.845) |
| Double/Take: | +0.986 | ±0.008 (+0.979..+0.994) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.014) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 11.
 
| | White is peever
score: 1
pip: 135 | | 13 point match | pip: 99
score: 9
Blue is mochy |
|
| XGID=--ABCBBA--------bbbfcBB---:0:0:-1:D:1:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 71.60% (G:11.39% B:0.34%) | 71.57% (G:12.80% B:0.47%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 28.40% (G:2.82% B:0.08%) | 28.43% (G:2.94% B:0.09%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.547 | +1.159 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.767 | ±0.013 (+0.754..+0.780) |
| Double/Take: | +0.642 (-0.125) | ±0.020 (+0.622..+0.662) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.233) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 25.9% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 5 minutes 02 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 11 (Money).
| | White is peever
score: 0
pip: 135 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 99
score: 0
Blue is mochy |
|
| XGID=--ABCBBA--------bbbfcBB---:0:0:-1:D:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 71.72% (G:11.01% B:0.18%) | 71.98% (G:10.78% B:0.18%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 28.28% (G:2.70% B:0.08%) | 28.02% (G:2.74% B:0.07%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.518 | +1.042 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.832 (-0.029) | ±0.011 (+0.822..+0.843) |
| Double/Take: | +0.861 | ±0.014 (+0.847..+0.876) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.139) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 99.9% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 6 minutes 29 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Position 12. I screwed up the checker play with 61 after the cube decision.
| | White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 67 | | 13 point match | pip: 115
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ABBBBB-----A---b-AbeaBcb-:1:1:1:00:1:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 43.05% (G:6.55% B:0.21%) | 43.31% (G:6.88% B:0.26%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 56.95% (G:8.96% B:0.19%) | 56.69% (G:10.37% B:0.23%) |
| Cubeless Equities | -0.122 | +0.258 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.161 (-0.097) | ±0.006 (+0.155..+0.167) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.258 | ±0.009 (+0.249..+0.267) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.742) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 8 minutes 00 second |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 12 (Checker play). Evidently, it is more important for Blue to make White's 51 and 11 play a lot worse than it is to get more covers for the 1pt.
| | White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 67 | | 13 point match | pip: 115
score: 1
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ABBBBB-----A---b-AbeaBcb-:2:-1:1:61:1:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/21* 21/15 | eq: +0.730 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 71.25% (G:14.58% B:0.59%)
28.75% (G:17.77% B:0.72%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.724...+0.737) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 22/21* 12/6 | eq: +0.696 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.48% (G:12.05% B:0.35%)
27.52% (G:13.94% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.691...+0.702) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 38 seconds |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 22/21* 18/12 | eq: +0.674 (-0.056) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 71.13% (G:12.30% B:0.35%)
28.87% (G:13.72% B:0.47%) | |
|
| 4. | 1-ply | 18/11 | eq: -0.314 (-1.044) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.91% (G:2.42% B:0.03%)
68.09% (G:4.80% B:0.04%) | |
|
| 5. | 1-ply | 18/17 12/6 | eq: -0.318 (-1.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.92% (G:2.19% B:0.04%)
68.08% (G:7.18% B:0.06%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 13.
| | White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 144 | | 13 point match | pip: 130
score: 5
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aB--B-CAA---cE--bd-e--A---:0:0:1:00:5:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 63.36% (G:26.11% B:0.24%) | 63.65% (G:26.51% B:0.25%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.64% (G:6.06% B:0.34%) | 36.35% (G:5.99% B:0.52%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.464 | +1.051 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.767 (-0.188) | ±0.013 (+0.755..+0.780) |
| Double/Take: | +0.955 | ±0.018 (+0.937..+0.973) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.045) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 11 minutes 00 second |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 13 (Money).
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 144 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 130
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aB--B-CAA---cE--bd-e--A---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 63.52% (G:25.45% B:0.18%) | 63.57% (G:26.76% B:0.23%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.48% (G:5.84% B:0.25%) | 36.43% (G:5.92% B:0.26%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.466 | +0.959 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.637 (-0.034) | ±0.011 (+0.626..+0.648) |
| Double/Take: | +0.670 | ±0.016 (+0.654..+0.687) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.330) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 13 minutes 03 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Position 14.
| | White is Player 2
score: 9
pip: 189 | | 13 point match | pip: 129
score: 7
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ba-BcDBB--CA----c-db-A---:0:0:1:00:7:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 64.16% (G:25.52% B:1.83%) | 64.20% (G:25.43% B:1.56%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 35.84% (G:5.51% B:0.25%) | 35.80% (G:5.40% B:0.45%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.522 | +1.110 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.860 (-0.025) | ±0.018 (+0.842..+0.877) |
| Double/Take: | +0.885 | ±0.023 (+0.861..+0.908) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.115) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 95.3% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 19 minutes 23 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 14 (Money).
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 189 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 129
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ba-BcDBB--CA----c-db-A---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 64.11% (G:25.90% B:2.06%) | 63.74% (G:25.94% B:2.15%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 35.89% (G:5.40% B:0.20%) | 36.26% (G:5.58% B:0.20%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.506 | +0.996 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.753 | ±0.018 (+0.735..+0.771) |
| Double/Take: | +0.709 (-0.044) | ±0.020 (+0.690..+0.729) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.247) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.0% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 99.9% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 14 minutes 33 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Position 15.
| | White is Player 1
score: 9
pip: 157 | | 13 point match | pip: 150
score: 9
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=----c-ECC--ac---Ba-c--b-bB:0:0:-1:00:9:9:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 61.33% (G:32.57% B:0.77%) | 61.46% (G:33.63% B:1.13%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 38.67% (G:9.32% B:0.53%) | 38.54% (G:9.70% B:0.67%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.548 | +1.649 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.799 (-0.201) | ±0.019 (+0.780..+0.818) |
| Double/Take: | +1.113 (+0.113) | ±0.030 (+1.083..+1.144) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 18 minutes 39 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 15 (Money). This position is a pass at -4-4 but a no double for Money, because of the much higher gammon price at -4-4.
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 157 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 150
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=----c-ECC--ac---Ba-c--b-bB:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 61.43% (G:32.10% B:0.47%) | 61.43% (G:33.14% B:0.45%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 38.57% (G:9.13% B:0.40%) | 38.57% (G:9.38% B:0.42%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.459 | +0.933 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.650 | ±0.014 (+0.636..+0.664) |
| Double/Take: | +0.621 (-0.029) | ±0.022 (+0.599..+0.643) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.350) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.0% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 98.6% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 19 minutes 08 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Position 16.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 10
pip: 154 | | 13 point match | pip: 145
score: 9
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---aa-EBBAA-dBa-Ab-d-b--A-:0:0:1:00:9:10:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 57.22% (G:19.33% B:1.69%) | 57.32% (G:19.82% B:2.27%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 42.78% (G:12.59% B:1.51%) | 42.68% (G:13.58% B:2.57%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.152 | +0.727 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.474 (-0.041) | ±0.019 (+0.456..+0.493) |
| Double/Take: | +0.515 | ±0.025 (+0.490..+0.540) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.485) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 99.5% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 26 minutes 28 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 16 (Money).
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 154 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 145
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---aa-EBBAA-dBa-Ab-d-b--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 56.82% (G:19.47% B:1.05%) | 56.79% (G:20.00% B:1.16%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 43.18% (G:12.30% B:0.64%) | 43.21% (G:12.68% B:0.65%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.212 | +0.428 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.287 | ±0.015 (+0.272..+0.301) |
| Double/Take: | +0.081 (-0.206) | ±0.021 (+0.059..+0.102) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.713) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take |
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18.3% |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Beaver Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 23 minutes 37 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01